Delivery Probability
When is it likely to arrive? A window — not a fake-precise date.
What it does
For a route TrackJet has seen enough of, it answers with a typical (p50) and a slow-case (p90) figure, so you can plan against the spread instead of a single number pretending to be exact.
The data behind it
Only TrackJet's own observed transits feed the estimate — origin/destination country, vertical, and the real elapsed times we have recorded. No third-party ETA feed, no vendor model.
What it shows
Dashed, clearly-provisional "ghost" markers ahead of the last real event — visibly different from recorded events on purpose. A forecast is never dressed up as a fact.
What it does NOT do
- Not a promise and not a carrier SLA.
- It does not know about a specific truck breaking down or a customs hold today.
- A brand-new or rare route honestly says it cannot estimate yet — calibrating beats inventing a date.